Parliamentary election analyses

A single entry to every parliamentary election analysis and tool. Each page applies to the currently selected vote.

Analyses

  • Election risk analysis — sections with unusual results, ranked by a composite risk signal.
  • Benford's law — deviations in the digit distribution of vote counts.
  • Wasted votes — the share of votes for below-threshold parties.
  • Voter loyalty — how much of the vote is retained between two elections.
  • Comparison — two elections side by side.

Tools & polling

  • Coalition simulator — build a majority under different scenarios.
  • Polling accuracy — which agencies came closest.
  • Campaign financing — party donations, income and spending.

Explore the data

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Recent analysis

  • Budget 2026: adopted in month seven — what the numbers show
  • Machine-only voting: who wins and who loses
  • Budget 2026 in focus: the record deficit, the critics, and a check against the numbers